I don't have the greatest of stakes in the year's draft since my first pick will be at #45. Maybe Lucio Lennon will be around then, with his potential 78 fastball and 68 slider, with 53 control. Maybe. Or Dobie Makmquist, a rightfielder with 56-54-50 potential.
So this is pretty straight-talking, with no reason to misdirect anyone into taking the wrong guy so that I can get who I want! No, this is just what I see.
This draft is a pitching draft. I rate 4 of these guys in the top 20 of the entire league. When you consider that a career might last 15 seasons then you'd expect 1 or 2 in the top 20. Not 4. And I've got 7 in the top 40, instead of 3. I've got 1 hitter in the top 20, another at 34, another at 57. That's thin! And after the 9th best hitter (at #93) we drop all the way to 177. That's how I've got it. The 10th best hitter is #177. The 10th best pitcher is #69.
If I had the first pick I'd take Louis Wickland. Three solid pitches, good arm, excellent control. While I rate a lot of pitchers highly, all the rest have question marks. Souchock and Dimaria are changeup pitchers who should be good but I shy away from that type, although a quick look at the ratings would compare Souchock to Konstantino Shawn and Dimaria is similar to Sondag and Easley. Lap Dog, Fernandogu LaPierre, is the best reliever but you can't pick a reliever that early, can you? Parnell McDevitt intrigues me. His primary pitch is a slider so he won't be relying on a change. I think Zeth Janco will be the most overrated pitcher in the draft. I'm hoping he slips to #45.
Among the hitters, it's got to be Orion Cornish, with his 63-65-64 ratings and his 39 vL. But even if he's the best hitter in this draft he's still only the #3 1b in the league, or will be #3 when he matures. He'll be a solid player but doesn't compare to Desmond Hume, from the last draft.
I've got Burley Trippy rated as the second best hitter in the draft and yet only the 9th best centerfielder in the league. If you're picking early and you don't have one of those 8 then Trippy is a good pick, otherwise take a pitcher!
My Top Ten:
Louis Wickland, P
Carlin Dimaria, P
Judson Souchock, P
Orion Cornish, 1b
Fernandogu LaPierre, RP
Parnell McDevitt, P
Burley Trippy, CF
Binh Datson, SS
Hyman Tusler, RP
Maxwell Abney, 3b
and I'd think hard on relievers Abbie Vache and Kaiser Artus.
Friday, October 12, 2007
Rating the 2018 Amateurs
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2 comments:
Dammit Eric, anyone with half a brain should trust your rankings. Stop evaluating the draft talent when there aren't enough good players to get what I want at my pick.
Good article, although I hate it when horrible drafters (that means you Cafferatta) get to read draft evaluations. Plus I guess I'm selfish. I had one of, if not the top CF and I couldn't resist drafting another one. They're going to have fun chasing each other around the base paths for a few years, I'd say.
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